Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.069852 4.356471 4.663004 5.016910 5.416387 5.855896 6.379582
2025-09-07 3.616008 4.014203 4.466788 5.025893 5.707614 6.525086 7.600922
2025-09-14 3.247315 3.683608 4.198091 4.861343 5.712267 6.795538 8.330004
2025-09-21 3.002820 3.462307 4.019631 4.762640 5.756167 7.086606 9.098504
2025-09-28 2.828004 3.305125 3.897664 4.710664 5.838109 7.419023 9.963250
2025-10-05 2.701164 3.195112 3.821702 4.704386 5.971074 7.828308 11.011748
2025-10-12 2.628036 3.146324 3.818045 4.790361 6.237002 8.463842 12.565928
2025-10-19 2.557407 3.094432 3.803819 4.856189 6.475204 9.086139 14.257133
2025-10-26 2.475844 3.021963 3.754817 4.864684 6.621923 9.574914 15.830179
2025-11-02 2.373904 2.915879 3.651566 4.782826 6.612970 9.787467 16.884465
2025-11-09 2.268906 2.800425 3.528323 4.660944 6.524673 9.840728 17.593772
2025-11-16 2.188798 2.715756 3.444385 4.592983 6.519017 10.046053 18.736038
2025-11-23 2.141660 2.676959 3.427263 4.632240 6.709006 10.678644 21.291132
2025-11-30 2.089060 2.628232 3.393122 4.642174 6.849439 11.241605 23.973395
2025-12-07 1.999268 2.522617 3.269105 4.497385 6.693094 11.145562 24.573570
2025-12-14 1.930606 2.444876 3.183420 4.410293 6.635832 11.260021 25.960409
2025-12-21 1.877206 2.387092 3.125027 4.364374 6.650967 11.540297 28.120937
2025-12-28 1.837212 2.347285 3.092065 4.358825 6.742811 12.018215 31.420058
2026-01-04 1.819079 2.338714 3.106480 4.434769 7.003317 12.967973 37.758007
2026-01-11 1.797694 2.324313 3.110780 4.492847 7.233944 13.902018 45.409043
2026-01-18 1.766246 2.293600 3.087716 4.500338 7.358830 14.580808 52.808122
2026-01-25 1.719330 2.238041 3.022737 4.428117 7.304297 14.730832 56.869372
2026-02-01 1.667123 2.173085 2.940522 4.320413 7.163086 14.597830 58.616195